Avast Thursday Initial Public Offering Postponed

 From the Original Post - Updates at End of Blog

Antivirus software company Avast will have their Initial Public Offering (IPO) Thursday.  The ticker symbol will be AVST. The roadshow is about at an end! Palo Alto Networks' successful IPO Friday suggests that the IPO  market may be open again.

Avast plans to offer 9 million shares at between $9 and $11 each with this IPO. The price  may be tweaked on Wednesday. The lead underwriters for the IPO are UBS Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank Securities and Jefferies & Co.  Avast uses the freemium strategy for their antivirus software. Avast  develops anti-virus software, specializing in a free version of its product used by consumers. They then offer  upgrades that can be purchased.  Avast is number one in OPSWAT’s most recent world wide industry market share analysis for antivirus software. www.opswat.com

 

James Krapfel of Morningstar said Avast is going public at a time when “the company’s software is installed on 20% of the worldwide consumer and small business PCs.” Krapfel called Avast “a higher quality peer” to rival AVG Technologies AVG  with sales growing at twice AVG’s annual rate.

  

Below is a summary of some of their financial data, revenue, income, etc. Click on it to enlarge.

Avast’s freemium competitors include Avira, AVG Technologies, PC Tools, and Panda.  Microsoft offers a free version of antivirus but no paid versions.  The Avast current installed base in about 159 million. They most recently had 1.72 million downloads on www.download.cnet.com   last week.  

 July 29 updates - Avast was the most popular free  antivirus download on CNET  for the week ending July 29, with 1.69 million downloads.


Updates


 July 30 update - Avast was the most downloaded free AV product on download.com for the week ending July 29 with 1.69 million downloads.

July 25 update - Avast Software  postponed its IPO on Wednesday evening, citing poor conditions. 

AVG Technologies executive JR Smith told  the Financial Times on Thursday that the  IPO situation for CEE tech companies is likely to get worse before it gets any better. “We are a European software company and we are pretty close to what is going on here, and start-ups and those companies looking for additional capital investment will find it tougher for sure over the next 12 to 18 months.”

The Avast  S-1 filed with the SEC   can be viewed at the link below.   Informative reading.

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1537133/000104746912007168/a2210121zf-1a.htm

 

For more information, go to

http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/07/avast-files-for-90-million-initial.html

 

Avast Files for $90 Million Initial Public Offering (IPO)

After first talking about going public in December, Avast filed an updated S-1   with the SEC (Securities Exchange Commission)  on July  12.  They’ll be trading on Nasdaq   under AVST.  The IPO (Initial Public Offering) will be for $90 million.  Anticipated offering price of the IPO, $9 to $11 per share.  The information in the S-1 lists  their installed base at about 159 million users.  The 190 million figures will probably be disappearing from their web site.  The definition resulting in 190 million may be different, however. When going IPO, accuracy in these docs is kind of importan. Legal people like that. 

Avast  may have wanted to go public earlier in the year.  The Facebook debacle temporarily  sucked the wind out of  the industry’s IPO sails.   The $90 million figure is down 55% from the $200 million figure that was floated earlier this year.  The bookrunners on the deal are   UBS Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank Securities, and Jefferies & Co.   

According to Renaissance Capital, by offering 9.0 million shares at a price range of $9.00 to $11.00, and at the midpoint of the proposed range, Avast Software will command a market value of $850 million.  IMHO, this sounds high.  AVG Technologies’ revenue run rate is approximately $300 million and with a more diversified revenue stream, they went public with a market capitalization of around $700 million.  Annualizing 2012 first quarter revenue of $27 million, and using a 5x multiple, gives a market cap of $540 million.  This is a crude methodology (first link at the bottom of this blog for details). Look for the pricing to result in a positive “pop”.  Facebook lost quite a few friends following the plunge in their stock following opening day.  Negative pops - bad. Unlike.

The Avast  updated S-1 filed with the SEC   can be viewed at the link below.  There must be an unwritten rule that S-1 documents have to run about 160 pages,  before attachments.  The Avast S-1 is  approximately the same length as the S-1 filed by Palo Alto Networks.  The risk factors run about 25 pages.

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1537133/000104746912007168/a2210121zf-1a.htm

Like their   Prague/Netherlands based competitor, AVG Technologies, Avast will officially be headquartered in the Netherlands.  “We are incorporated under the laws of the Netherlands and on this basis are subject to Dutch tax laws as a Dutch resident taxpayer.  We believe that we are resident solely in the Netherlands for tax purposes and that we, and in certain cases, the holders of our shares, can rely on this position for purposes of the application of tax treaties concluded by the Netherlands with other jurisdictions.  Read “Double Irish with a Dutch Sandwich – Yummy Way For Corporations to Reduce Federal Taxes”.   http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/04/double-irish-with-dutch-sandwich-yummy.html

Additional verbiage, probably standard for non US based companies listing on Nasdaq – “As a foreign private issuer whose shares are listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, we have elected to follow certain home country corporate governance practices instead of certain NASDAQ requirements.” “We do not comply with all the provisions of the Dutch Corporate Governance Code.  This may affect your rights as a stockholder.”  These are explained in detail in the S-1.

According the June   2012 “OPSWAT Report on Worldwide Security Industry Market Share Analysis”, Avast is number one in worldwide antivirus market share.  Also in the top 5, Microsoft, Eset, Symantec, and AVG Technologies 

 http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/06/june-2012-opswat-report-on-worldwide.html .   

The Avast  free product received 3 stars (out of 3) and finished tenth out of twenty in the March “On-demand Detection of Malicious Software” test done by AV- Comparatives  www.av-comparatives.org .

Below is a snapshot of some of Avast’s financial data (revenue, income, etc.)  for the last several years (click on it to enlarge).  Like AVG, Avira, Microsoft, and PC Tools (somewhat quietly owned by Symantec),  Avast also uses a freemium model.

Avast has a corporate office just north of Silicon Valley in San Mateo, California.  A 20 mile hike to AT&T Ballpark,  for San Francisco Giants  baseball games.  AVG Technologies California employees?  They just have to walk across the street.  Very cool.

Don’t look for any of the Avast  officers or directors to be pictured wearing hoodies during the roadshow on the day they go  public.  The major stockholders are Eduard Kucera (30%), Pavel Baudis (30%), and Summit Partners (22.6%).  Let the public roadshow begin.  Hodně štěstí.  Pivo prosím.

For additional light reading:

http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/01/what-would-avast-softwares-valuation-be.html

http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/05/avast-gradually-moving-forward-with-ipo.html

 

 http://kensek.blogspot.com/2011/12/avast-software-files-for-200-million.html
 

http://kensek.blogspot.com/2012/03/march-2012-opswat-report-on-worldwide.html